Predicting Postoperative Complications and Long-Term Survival After Lung Cancer Surgery Using Eurolung Risk Score

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to assess the clinical relevance of the parsimonious Eurolung risk scoring system for predicting postoperative morbidity, mortality, and long-term survival in Korean patients with surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer.

Methods: This retrospective analysis used the data of patients who underwent anatomical resection for non-small cell lung cancer between 2004 and 2018 at a single institution. The parsimonious aggregate Eurolung score was calculated for each patient. The Cox regression model was used to determine the ability of the Eurolung scoring system for predicting long-term outcomes.

Results: Of the 7,278 patients in the study, cardiopulmonary complications and mortality occurred in 687 (9.4%) and 53 (0.7%) patients, respectively. The rate of cardiopulmonary complications and mortality gradually increased with the increase in the Eurolung risk scores (all P < 0.001). When risk scores were grouped into four categories, the Eurolung scoring system showed a stepwise deterioration of overall survival with the increase in risk scores, and this association was statistically significant (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that the Eurolung scoring system, classified into four categories, was a significant prognostic factor of overall survival even after adjusting for covariates such as tumor histology and pathological stage (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Stratification based on the parsimonious Eurolung scoring system showed good discriminatory ability for predicting postoperative morbidity, mortality, and long-term survival in South Korean patients with surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer. This might help clinicians to provide a detailed prognosis and decide the appropriate treatment option for high-risk patients with non-small cell lung cancer.