Bayesian Inference of Cavitation Model Coefficients and Uncertainty Quantification of a Venturi Flow Simulation

Abstract

In the present work, uncertainty quantification of a venturi tube simulation with the cavitating flow is conducted based on Bayesian inference and point-collocation nonintrusive polynomial chaos (PC-NIPC). A Zwart–Gerber–Belamri (ZGB) cavitation model and RNG k-ε turbulence model are adopted to simulate the cavitating flow in the venturi tube using ANSYS Fluent, and the simulation results, with void fractions and velocity profiles, are validated with experimental data. A grid convergence index (GCI) based on the SLS-GCI method is investigated for the cavitation area, and the uncertainty error (UG) is estimated as 1.12 × 10−5. First, for uncertainty quantification of the venturi flow simulation, the ZGB cavitation model coefficients are calibrated with an experimental void fraction as observation data, and posterior distributions of the four model coefficients are obtained using MCMC. Second, based on the calibrated model coefficients, the forward problem with two random inputs, an inlet velocity, and wall roughness, is conducted using PC-NIPC for the surrogate model. The quantities of interest are set to the cavitation area and the profile of the velocity and void fraction. It is confirmed that the wall roughness with a Sobol index of 0.72 has a more significant effect on the uncertainty of the cavitating flow simulation than the inlet velocity of 0.52.