Incidence and Predictors of Severe Tricuspid Regurgitation in Atrial Fibrillation Patients Without Structural Heart Disease

Abstract

The long-term effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on the occurrence of significant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) has not been evaluated in depth yet. We aimed to evaluate the incidence and predictors of severe TR in AF patients without structural heart disease (SHD). In 27,797 patients with AF, after excluding those with severe TR, SHD, implanted cardiac device, and no available follow-up echocardiography, clinical data of 4,613 patients (63.0 ± 11.3 years old, 69.7% male) were evaluated. The primary outcome was the occurrence of severe TR on follow-up echocardiography. Severe TR developed in 164 patients (3.6%) during median follow-up of 2.9 years (interquartile range 1.2 to 5.3). Most of the severe TR (72.6%) developed as isolated TR progression, and the others were associated with SHD progression, most commonly mitral regurgitation (68.9%). Severe TR predominantly occurred in older female patients and those with heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease, persistent AF (PeAF), larger LA, and a higher degree of baseline TR. Specifically, 0.8%, 3.7%, and 34.4% of patients with no, mild, and moderate baseline TR, respectively, had progressed to severe TR (p <0.001). In multivariable analysis, moderate TR (hazard ratio [HR] 12.52 [8.99 to 17.42]), age ≥65 years (HR 2.25 [1.60 to 3.16]), previous HF (HR 1.79 [1.13 to 2.85]), PeAF (HR 1.54 [1.07 to 2.22]), and female gender (HR 1.52 [1.11 to 2.07]) were independent predictors. In conclusion, 3.6% of patients with AF developed severe TR over long-term follow-up, with moderate TR, age, previous HF, PeAF, and female gender as independent predictors.